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Live · Kalshi BTC / ETH

Oracle

Estimates the probability of real events, records each estimate before the outcome is known, and scores it against what actually happened. Live board begins with Bitcoin and Ethereum.

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44resolved
0.21brier score
53active

  • oracle believesBTC

    Will Bitcoin be above $200000 by Jan 1, 2027 at 11:59PM ET?

    112 days remainingConfidence 98%↑ +1% since last mark
    3%probability
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  • oracle believesBTC

    Will BTC hit $50,000 before $100,000 by Dec 31, 2026?

    112 days remainingConfidence 96%
    17%probability
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  • oracle believesBTC

    Will Bitcoin be above $149999.99 by Dec 31, 2026 at 11:59PM ET?

    142 days remainingConfidence 98%↓ -1% since last mark
    5%probability
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  • oracle believesBTC

    Will BTC trimmed mean be above $85000.00 by 11:59 PM ET on Sep 30, 2026?

    20 days remainingConfidence 98%↓ -10% since last mark
    34%probability
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  • oracle believesBTC

    Will BTC trimmed mean be above $87500.00 by 11:59 PM ET on Sep 30, 2026?

    20 days remainingConfidence 98%↓ -8% since last mark
    18%probability
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  • oracle believesBTC

    Will Bitcoin be above $100000 by October 1, 2026 at 12:00AM ET?

    112 days remainingConfidence 98%
    4%probability
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  • oracle believesBTC

    Will Bitcoin be above $100000.00 by Jan 1, 2027 at 12:00AM ET?

    112 days remainingConfidence 98%↑ +5% since last mark
    29%probability
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  • oracle believesETH

    Will Ethereum reach below $1500.00 by Jan 1, 2027 at 12:00AM ET?

    112 days remainingConfidence 98%↑ +2% since last mark
    22%probability
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  • oracle believesETH

    Will Ethereum reach below $1250.00 by Jan 1, 2027 at 12:00AM ET?

    112 days remainingConfidence 98%↑ +1% since last mark
    13%probability
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  • oracle believesETH

    Will ETH trimmed mean be above $3500.00 by 11:59 PM ET on Sep 30, 2026?

    20 days remainingConfidence 96%↓ -1% since last mark
    3%probability
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  • oracle believesETH

    Will ETH trimmed mean be above $2750.00 by 11:59 PM ET on Sep 30, 2026?

    20 days remainingConfidence 98%↓ -10% since last mark
    34%probability
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  • oracle believesETH

    Will ETH trimmed mean be above $3000.00 by 11:59 PM ET on Sep 30, 2026?

    20 days remainingConfidence 96%↓ -6% since last mark
    15%probability
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Showing 12 of 53 open BTC/ETH markets · 15-minute markets excluded

Live · Kalshi BTC / ETH · Updated Sep 10, 2026, 9:40 AM UTC · No performance claims